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What to Expect from the Alberta Real Estate Market This Fall

What to Expect from the Alberta Real Estate Market This Fall

As fall approaches, the Alberta real estate market is offering a blend of opportunities and challenges. Whether you’re buying, selling, or investing, staying on top of the latest trends can help you make smarter decisions. Let’s dive into what to expect:

Interest Rates Are Stabilizing

After a series of rate hikes, the Bank of Canada recently reduced its key interest rate by 0.25% in response to inflation control measures. This brings some relief to homebuyers, as the average 5-year fixed mortgage rate in Alberta hovers around 5.5%. Lower rates mean more purchasing power for buyers and a potential increase in activity during the fall.

Low Inventory Continues to Favor Sellers

With inventory levels remaining low across Alberta, particularly in major markets like Calgary and Edmonton, the seller's market remains strong. In August 2024, Calgary’s housing inventory was down 15% year-over-year, while average home prices increased by 9%, making it a competitive market for buyers. Sellers are in a prime position to benefit from fast sales and competitive offers.

Suburban Homes Are in High Demand

Remote work trends are continuing to fuel demand for suburban properties. Areas like Belmont, Seton, and Glacier Ridge in Calgary have seen growing interest due to affordable prices and larger homes. In fact, homes in these areas offer 15% more square footage on average than inner-city properties, making them attractive to families looking for more space at lower prices.

Strong Rental Market for Investors

Alberta’s rental market is booming, with vacancy rates in cities like Calgary dropping to 2.7% in mid-2024, down from 3.5% the previous year. This tightening rental market is driving up rent prices, especially in popular investment areas like Cornerstone and Homestead, where rent for a two-bedroom suite averages around $1,500–$1,800 per month. Investors looking for stable cash flow should capitalize on this trend.

Oil Prices and Their Impact on the Housing Market

Alberta’s economy remains closely tied to oil prices, and steady prices in the $80–$90 per barrel range are keeping the economic outlook positive. This stability supports job growth in the energy sector, which in turn drives housing demand, particularly in energy hubs like Calgary and Edmonton.

Pre-Construction Homes Offer Value

Pre-construction homes are becoming a popular option for buyers looking to save on costs while securing a new home. Developments in areas like Homestead and Glacier Ridge are offering early-bird incentives, with homes starting at $450,000. These properties often come equipped with modern amenities, energy-efficient designs, and potential for strong value appreciation in the coming years.

Final Thoughts

This fall, Alberta’s real estate market is poised for steady growth. Buyers can take advantage of stabilizing interest rates, while sellers benefit from low inventory and rising prices. Investors have a golden opportunity in the rental market, especially in high-demand suburban areas. As always, partnering with a knowledgeable realtor is the key to navigating these trends with confidence.

Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.